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Excerpts from Alaska's Fiscal Health

July 2001

Is There Life After the CBRF Runs Out?

Chart 1: State of Alaska Revenue Sources
Chart 2: State of Alaska Revenue Sources with North Slope Natural Gas Project revenues

  • Oil revenues will always be volatile.
  • The CBRF has served as the state's cushion, or shock absorber, in years of low oil prices.
  • A fiscal plan based on average oil prices would still leave the state in risk in years of low oil prices.
  • If the CBRF is gone, how would we pay for public serves when oil prices are below average?
  • The Permanent Fund dividend and Permanent Fund earnings are options.
  • Paying millions of dollars a year for oil futures to lock in prices also is an option. It's called hedging.
  • The best plan is to keep $1.5 billion in the CBRF to balance the budget in years of low oil prices.

 


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